If a butterfly flaps its wings in Asia, a wave crashes against the coastal United States some period of time later, or so the adage goes. Since the attack in Israel last October, besides what is transpiring inside of Gaza, all eyes have been on the Red Sea. The Houthi rebels, whose history in Yemen goes back much further than most people are aware, have made targeting shipping interests a means to gain the world’s attention.
The Houthis have said that the attacks on ships and seafarers will continue until such time as there is a cease fire. Most recently, the crew of a UK-flagged vessel was forced to abandon ship after one such attack. Despite the US and other nations’ response to the killing of three American servicemembers, the attacks continue. Without getting overtly political, there is a belief that these attacks are being aided by Iran using an intelligence-gathering ship situated right smack in the middle of everything and is helping the Houthis identify potential targets.
Despite an early attempt by several carriers to pass through the area, the inability of a multilateral coalition to sufficiently ensure the safety of all commercial traffic has led carriers to circumnavigate the entirety of the African coast adding both time and cost, plus re-igniting the for-a-period dormant business model of maritime piracy near the southern tip of Africa.
The first reaction of people (and businesses) is to assume that this situation and others in the reason have immediately led to surcharges and higher insurance premiums on cargo in the region. The fact of the matter is, given the way insurance works, there really isn’t a bright line from one activity or change in trading conditions to an increase in premiums. It is a much more interconnected web, in fact, that could lead to increases to cargo insurance on other trade lanes, cyber insurance policies or even personal home, auto and health insurance policies, despite the seeming lack of connection between all these coverages.
Joining Cameron and Scott for this episode is Philip Bilney, a man who intimately understands insurance. The Executive Chairman of the +8Partners ecosystem of companies, Phil has spent a lifetime in the insurance industry and markets. Knowledgeable, approachable and with the ability to easily explain complex subjects while providing the necessary background and context to undergird the explanation, Phil is one of the best people to turn to for this issue.
